To say we live in VUCA times is an understatement. Borrowed from the military, Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, and Ambiguity perfectly encapsulates the challenges that organizations are facing. Recent government actions have only amplified this uncertainty, making it imperative for executives to adapt and respond with agility.
Just recently in our business, we have seen clients directly impacted by everything from the avian flu to reduction in government grants for higher education to tariffs. It seems like every strategy is being questioned and every strategic portfolio is being paused while it is reexamined. The increased complexity and ambiguity are clearly challenging traditional strategic planning and portfolio management methods.
In such an environment, agility becomes critical. Agility refers to the ability to quickly adapt to changing circumstances, make informed decisions, and implement changes effectively. This requires a mindset shift from rigid planning to flexible and iterative processes. However, agility needs to be balanced and measured, or the organization will feel rudderless. Herein lies the challenge.
Agile methodologies, originally developed for software development, are now being widely adopted across various industries. These methodologies emphasize iterative development, collaboration, and responsiveness to change. By breaking down efforts into smaller pieces and continuously evaluating progress, organizations can better manage uncertainty and adjust their strategies as needed.
In rapidly changing times, continuous learning and improvement are essential. Executives must stay updated on the latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and technological advancements. This knowledge allows them to anticipate potential disruptions and proactively address them. It also provides the fodder for the countless “what if” exercises business must do in VUCA times.
Traditional strategy and portfolio approaches provide excellent frameworks from which to manage in this “what if” era. However, the discipline, agility, communication, and decision-making cadence needs to be throttled to match the pace of change and disruption.
Three critical aspects need heightened attention.
To prioritize efforts effectively, it is crucial to align them with the organization’s strategic goals. This ensures that resources are allocated to initiatives that provide the most value and support the overall mission. When markets change dynamically, these top-level goals and strategies may be the most volatile part of the process. The executive team must regularly revisit the changing landscape through methods such as PESTLE (Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental) scans.
Changes in priorities must have clear agreement and buy-in from the entire executive team, as trade-offs will occur, and activity must stop on non-priority efforts. Pet projects and contradictory action will transform a deliberate change into chaos. Executive alignment is challenging enough in stable times. It is much more difficult in dynamic times.
VUCA environments pose risk, and therefore risk management becomes even more important. The assumptions on which strategic initiatives were chartered will likely be changing, potentially invalidating the business case. Hanging on to old paradigms too long can be extremely costly.
Executives must work with their project and portfolio professionals to identify potential risks, assess their impact, and develop mitigation strategies. Then when a pivot is needed, the action plan will be well-vetted and clearly outlined.
Effective resource allocation is always key to successful strategy realization. When the world is rapidly changing around you, it is essential to allocate resources to efforts that are most likely to succeed and deliver value. This requires a thorough understanding of resource availability, project requirements, and potential constraints. When reallocation is necessary, communication of the “what” and “why” must be clear, and work on the deprioritized initiatives must cease.
The inefficiencies of such organizational redirection cannot be taken lightly. Even the attempt to stop and start saps valuable resources and creates change fatigue.
Waiting for certainty before making decisions can lead to missed opportunities. Executives must have the ability to make proactive decisions based on the best available information. They must be willing to take calculated risks and adapt quickly to changing circumstances.
Additionally, the strategy portfolio teams must be able to support executive decision making by providing a single source of portfolio status and the ability to model various scenarios. Advanced portfolio management tools, data analytics, and automation can enhance decision-making, streamline processes, and improve efficiency in this scenario planning. This technology-enabled agility and responsiveness can provide a competitive edge.
Lastly, resilient teams are better equipped to handle the challenges of ongoing change. Organizations that have fostered a culture of trust, collaboration, and adaptability will be able to navigate volatility better. Organizations that are late to the game will need to increase investment and attention to supporting and enabling their teams to respond effectively.
By embracing the agile mindset, continuous learning, and effective prioritization strategies, executives and their teams can navigate uncertainties and respond to market dynamics with confidence. Building resilient teams and leveraging technology further enhances their ability to succeed in an unpredictable world. Ultimately, the key to thriving in such an environment lies in the willingness to embrace change and continuously seek improvement.
April 9, 2025
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